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Fantasy Advice with Heis: Preparing for "Do the Opposite"

While Everyone Reaches for RBs Early, You Can Load Up Late

Ben Heisler
August 16, 2017 - 4:30 pm

Fantasy Football season is rapidly approaching, which means it's crunch time to prepare for your league's draft. And the best way to prepare for it is at our 4th Annual Fantasy Football Training Camp this Sunday, August 20th at the Johnson County Arts & Heritage Center from 11a-3pm. You can also listen to Fantasy Football Sunday with me beginning this Sunday at 9am.

If you've ever heard Fantasy HOF'er Paul Charchian on 610 Sports Radio before, you know he's discussed his philosophy of "Do the Opposite." Zig when the rest of the league is zagging and that's how and where you'll ultimately find the best value in building your fantasy team.

One of the core principles of "Do the Opposite" has been to NOT draft a running back in the first four rounds of the draft. That way you shore up elite players at Wide Receiver, Quarterback and/or Tight End and then use your Rounds 5-9 to load up on RBs, the most volatile position in fantasy football. But does it work? And can you still find good value loading up on backs after the first four rounds?

I decided to put it to the test using Yahoo! for my mock draft system and Charch's Cheat Sheet as my lone draft guide for this exercise to see if there was legitimate value in the middle of the draft at RB. Below are the results:

Round 1
(1) ST - David Johnson (Ari - RB) 
(2) Terry - Le'Veon Bell (Pit - RB) 
(3) Brett H - Antonio Brown (Pit - WR) 
(4) Derek - Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG - WR) 
(5) christian - Julio Jones (Atl - WR) 
(6) Stephen O - LeSean McCoy (Buf - RB) 
(7) Ben Heisler - Mike Evans (TB - WR) 
(8) Anthony - A.J. Green (Cin - WR) 
(9) Richard - Devonta Freeman (Atl - RB) 
(10) __FiN__ - Melvin Gordon (LAC - RB) 
(11) SHO - Jordy Nelson (GB - WR) 
(12) ronald - Jay Ajayi (Mia - RB) 

 ANALYSIS: Being in the middle of the pack, I knew there would still be a Top-4 WR very likely available. I end up snagging Evans, who Charch has as his #2 overall WR on his cheat sheet, with only Antonio Brown ahead of him. So far so good.

Round 2
(1) ronald - Jordan Howard (Chi - RB) 
(2) SHO - Rob Gronkowski (NE - TE) 
(3) __FiN__ - DeMarco Murray (Ten - RB) 
(4) Richard - Michael Thomas (NO - WR) 
(5) Anthony - Amari Cooper (Oak - WR) 
(6) Ben Heisler - T.Y. Hilton (Ind - WR) 
(7) Stephen O - Dez Bryant (Dal - WR) 
(8) christian - Aaron Rodgers (GB - QB) 
(9) Derek - Todd Gurley (LAR - RB) 
(10) Brett H - Leonard Fournette (Jax - RB) 
(11) Terry - Ezekiel Elliott (Dal - RB) 
(12) ST - Tom Brady (NE - QB) 

ANALYSIS: Round 2 ended up being a bit trickier. I really wanted to take Gronkowski but he was taken early in the round. I could've taken Tom Brady and gotten the clear 1B Quarterback (to Aaron Rodgers as 1A in the draft, but too much value remains later on for QBs that I decided to pass and see if he ends up available in Round 3 (Brees remains on the board as well). Instead I take T.Y Hilton with overall pick #18 and the #9 WR (and best available) on Charch's board. My starting WRs are officially set with two Top-9 options at the spot.

Round 3
(1) ST - Travis Kelce (KC - TE) 
(2) Terry - Doug Baldwin (Sea - WR) 
(3) Brett H - Brandin Cooks (NE - WR) 
(4) Derek - Lamar Miller (Hou - RB) 
(5) christian - Terrelle Pryor Sr. (Was - WR) 
(6) Stephen O - Isaiah Crowell (Cle - RB) 
(7) Ben Heisler - Drew Brees (NO - QB) 
(8) Anthony - Christian McCaffrey (Car - RB) 
(9) Richard - Alshon Jeffery (Phi - WR) 
(10) __FiN__ - DeAndre Hopkins (Hou - WR) 
(11) SHO - Marshawn Lynch (Oak - RB) 
(12) ronald - Demaryius Thomas (Den - WR)

ANALYSIS: I get my instant fantasy stud QB in Brees to go along with two legit WRs. In Round 3, I end up with the league's passing leader (5,208 yards in 2016, nearly 300 more than Matt Ryan), to go along with the #3 TD thrower (37). One more round to go without taking a running back!

Round 4
(1) ronald - Tyreek Hill (KC - WR) 
(2) SHO - Dalvin Cook (Min - RB) 
(3) __FiN__ - Michael Crabtree (Oak - WR) 
(4) Richard - Ty Montgomery (GB - RB) 
(5) Anthony - Davante Adams (GB - WR) 
(6) Ben Heisler - Jimmy Graham (Sea - TE) 
(7) Stephen O - Allen Robinson (Jax - WR) 
(8) christian - Jordan Reed (Was - TE) 
(9) Derek - Greg Olsen (Car - TE) 
(10) Brett H - Carlos Hyde (SF - RB) 
(11) Terry - Keenan Allen (LAC - WR) 
(12) ST - Joe Mixon (Cin - RB)

ANALYSIS: If Dalvin Cook was available before my pick, I may have deviated from "Do the Opposite." I also LOVE Davante Adams and would've been fine taking yet another legit WR, but instead I take Charch's #3 TE in Jimmy Graham, only behind Gronk & Kelce. In four rounds, I now have a Top 3 WR, QB & TE. Time to stock up on RBs.

Round 5
(1) ST - Emmanuel Sanders (Den - WR) 
(2) Terry - Sammy Watkins (LAR - WR) 
(3) Brett H - Matt Ryan (Atl - QB) 
(4) Derek - Martavis Bryant (Pit - WR) 
(5) christian - Jarvis Landry (Mia - WR) 
(6) Stephen O - Jamison Crowder (Was - WR) 
(7) Ben Heisler - Danny Woodhead (Bal - RB) 
(8) Anthony - Mike Gillislee (NE - RB) 
(9) Richard - Julian Edelman (NE - WR) 
(10) __FiN__ - Kelvin Benjamin (Car - WR) 
(11) SHO - Jameis Winston (TB - QB) 
(12) ronald - Russell Wilson (Sea - QB)

ANALYSIS: With my first RB, I take the picture-perfect fit into the Ravens system in Danny Woodhead. I get a terrific PPR option who has even more opportunity with Kenneth Dixon now done for the season. Woodhead is Charch's #17 RB and the top RB option available on his board.

Round 6
(1) ronald - Larry Fitzgerald (Ari - WR) 
(2) SHO - Spencer Ware (KC - RB) 
(3) __FiN__ - C.J. Anderson (Den - RB) 
(4) Richard - Marcus Mariota (Ten - QB) 
(5) Anthony - Andrew Luck (Ind - QB) 
(6) Ben Heisler - Tevin Coleman (Atl - RB) 
(7) Stephen O - Kirk Cousins (Was - QB) 
(8) christian - Golden Tate (Det - WR) 
(9) Derek - Willie Snead (NO - WR) 
(10) Brett H - DeSean Jackson (TB - WR) 
(11) Terry - Ben Roethlisberger (Pit - QB) 
(12) ST - Ameer Abdullah (Det - RB) 

ANALYSIS: This may be my best value of the draft thus far. Coleman is Charch's #18 RB. Woodhead in the fifth round was #17 so in two rounds, I just grabbed two Top 20 RBs. Now let's go get some more of them.

Round 7
(1) ST - Donte Moncrief (Ind - WR) 
(2) Terry - Delanie Walker (Ten - TE) 
(3) Brett H - Kyle Rudolph (Min - TE) 
(4) Derek - Cam Newton (Car - QB) 
(5) christian - LeGarrette Blount (Phi - RB) 
(6) Stephen O - Tyler Eifert (Cin - TE) 
(7) Ben Heisler - Terrance West (Bal - RB) 
(8) Anthony - Martellus Bennett (GB - TE) 
(9) Richard - Bilal Powell (NYJ - RB) 
(10) __FiN__ - Doug Martin (TB - RB) 
(11) SHO - Cameron Meredith (Chi - WR) 
(12) ronald - Zach Ertz (Phi - TE) 

ANALYSIS: West has the tendency to be underwhelming at times, but he still remains the top starting back in Baltimore AND I have a handcuff for Woodhead should he get hurt. So much of fantasy football is having options and should Woodhead or West go down, I'm no longer have to worry about scouring the waiver-wire. West is RB-22 for Charch.

Round 8
(1) ronald - Denver (Den - DEF) 
(2) SHO - Pierre Garcon (SF - WR) 
(3) __FiN__ - Philip Rivers (LAC - QB) 
(4) Richard - Hunter Henry (LAC - TE) 
(5) Anthony - Seattle (Sea - DEF) 
(6) Ben Heisler - Jonathan Stewart (Car - RB) 
(7) Stephen O - Houston (Hou - DEF) 
(8) christian - Mark Ingram (NO - RB) 
(9) Derek - Kansas City (KC - DEF) 
(10) Brett H - Arizona (Ari - DEF) 
(11) Terry - Minnesota (Min - DEF) 
(12) ST - Brandon Marshall (NYG - WR) 

ANALYSIS: J-Stew, like West can occasionally put you to sleep, but still finished as the 19th best rusher in the NFL last season and a Top-10 option in rushing TDs in 2016. This year, the Panthers plan to have Cam Newton run less, which means more options for Stewart especially at the goalline. He's the #23 RB available. (Full disclosure, I would have personally taken Brandon Marshall for insane value in this round, but stayed the course).

Round 9
(1) ST - Randall Cobb (GB - WR) 
(2) Terry - Stephen Gostkowski (NE - K) 
(3) Brett H - Stefon Diggs (Min - WR) 
(4) Derek - Justin Tucker (Bal - K) 
(5) christian - New England (NE - DEF) 
(6) Stephen O - Mason Crosby (GB - K) 
(7) Ben Heisler - Frank Gore (Ind - RB) 
(8) Anthony - Dan Bailey (Dal - K) 
(9) Richard - DeVante Parker (Mia - WR) 
(10) __FiN__ - Jeremy Maclin (Bal - WR) 
(11) SHO - Tyrell Williams (LAC - WR) 
(12) ronald - Matt Bryant (Atl - K) 

ANALYSIS: Frank the Tank is still a starting RB at the age of 34. Pretty incredible huh? Charch's RB-27 adds yet another stable RB to the rotation with still lots of choices to fill out the remainder of the roster on the table.

FULL DRAFT:

1. Mike Evans (TB - WR) 
2. T.Y. Hilton (Ind - WR) 
3. Drew Brees (NO - QB) 
4. Jimmy Graham (Sea - TE) 
5. Danny Woodhead (Bal - RB) 
6. Tevin Coleman (Atl - RB) 
7. Terrance West (Bal - RB) 
8. Jonathan Stewart (Car - RB) 
9. Frank Gore (Ind - RB) 
10. Rishard Matthews (Ten - WR) 
11. Adam Thielen (Min - WR) 
12. Julius Thomas (Mia - TE) 
13. Carson Wentz (Phi - QB) 
14. Tennessee (Ten - DEF) 
15. Dustin Hopkins (Was - K) 

Remember you can always send me your fantasy football questions on twitter: @bennyheis

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