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Three’s Company: Fantasy WRs

The Three WR Studs, Stay-Aways & Sleepers in 2017:

Ben Heisler
August 30, 2017 - 4:41 pm

We are less than two weeks away from the start of real football! All throughout the week, we’ll take a look at each fantasy football position: QB, RB, WR & TE and break down each of them into three categories.

The Studs: These are the players at this position that you don’t need to think twice about because you’re guaranteed to have them deliver at their ADP (average draft position)

The Stay-Aways: The players that I’m not going to touch this year or the players that are being drafted far too early despite their likely contributions.

The Sleepers: The players that are going anywhere from mid-to-late rounds in fantasy drafts, including some that may not be drafted at all!

Today we continue our Three’s Company series with the WR breakdown. And don’t forget to listen to “Fantasy Football Sunday” every Sunday morning starting at 9am!


Writer’s Note: Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Mike Evans & Odell Beckham Jr remain the top clear and away four wide receivers, so I will focus on the text tier that I believe to be near elite level players this season at the WR position.

AJ GREEN, Cincinnati Bengals

Consistency is boring in fantasy, but it can also be the difference between winning and losing. From Fanball.com, even with missing nine games in the last three seasons, Green has averaged six catches, 85 yards and 0.5 touchdowns. Those are seasonal averages of 91 catches, 1,355 yards and eight TDs when spread out over a 16-game season. Green is getting passed over all the way into the early to mid second round which is unfathomable. If he falls to you at the end of your first round, you should be more than thrilled.

JORDY NELSON, Green Bay Packers

We always talk about recency bias hurting your perspective when it comes to drafting in fantasy football. But nobody ever talks about non-recency bias which somehow comes back to haunt Nelson. People remember the torn ACL and getting screwed and feel he’s a major injury risk. You’re risking winning your season by passing on Jordy who led the NFL in touchdowns last year and finished with 97 catches, both were second best in his career. I don’t anticipate him slowing down with Rodgers under center and more weapons around him in Green Bay.

TERRELLE PRYOR, The Washington Football Team

Pryor in his first full year playing consistently at the WR spot in Cleveland went for 77 catches and 1,097 yards with four touchdowns. That was with the pitiful Browns. Now he heads to Washington to be Kirk Cousins’ #1 WR on the outside with lots of other weapons around him in Jamison Crowder and a Top-5 TE in Jordan Reed. That means less double coverage down the field and a great opportunity to be an Top-10 fantasy option this season.


T.Y HILTON, Indianapolis Colts

No Andrew Luck means bad news for T.Y and that remains a very real possibility as Luck recovers from surgery. Jim Irsay, the Colts owner said Luck is not likely to start the season opener. This hurts Hilton because his success has always been tied to Luck, averaging nearly seven more fantasy points per game when Luck is throwing him the football according to RotoViz. Hard to reach for a wide receiver without Luck (see what I did there?)

KEENAN ALLEN, Los Angeles Chargers

When Keenan Allen is on the field, he’s a legit Top 15-20 option. The problem is just that, HE’S NEVER ON THE FIELD! The good people at Fanball mentioned that Allen hasn’t played an NFL game after November 1st since 2014. Those are middle of the season and fantasy playoff games without a top WR option in your lineup and that's something fantasy owners cannot afford.


Thomas had a hip injury that bugged him all season last year and this year he feels better than he has in his career! Only issue is Trevor Siemian is still throwing him the ball and he’s not exactly known for throwing the deep, big play passes that have made Thomas a legit fantasy option in the past. Health concerns always seem to nag Thomas as well and with the Broncos not being able to keep their offense consistently on the field, this doesn’t seem like the ideal WR to reach on.


PIERRE GARCON, San Francisco 49ers

Kyle Shanahan and Brian Hoyer = WR1 gold! He had 181 targets the last time he was the WR1 for Shanahan and when DeAndre Hopkins was Hoyer’s WR1, he broke out for 111 catches, 1,521 yards and 11 TDs. Garcon’s ADP is in the 30-40 range. He deserves far better and will easily goes the steal of your draft this year.

TYRELL WILLIAMS, Los Angeles Chargers

For all the reasons I was against Keenan Allen, I’m for Tyrell Williams. He led the Chargers in targets, catches,  receiving yards (over 1000), and had six touchdowns to boot. He is THE RELIABLE option for Philip Rivers who could legitimately have a Top-5-7 offense this year.

MIKE WALLACE, Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens pass the ball… A LOT. Like most in the NFL at a 67% clip in 2016. Wallace has versatility all over the field and with more familiarity in their system, I expect Wallace to pick up the slack and targets left from Steve Smith’s absence ahead of Maclin. The targets will be there, and Wallace is going north of WR 40 range. Don’t miss out on a great, reliable top option in Baltimore towards the end of your draft.

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