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Vern's Trade Tracker

Who's Staying? Who's Gone? The Latest News

Josh Vernier
June 14, 2017 - 7:00 am
Categories: 

THE SITUATION

  • Deadline Date : July 31, 2017
  • Record : 35-36
  • Games Back (A.L. Central) - 3.0
  • Games Back (A.L. Wild Card) - 2.0
  • Days 'til the Deadline - 40

THE NAMES

***Lorenzo Cain***

  • Current Contract - Free agent following 2017 season
  • Age - 31 (4/13/1986)
  • 2018 Replacement - Billy Burns, Paulo Orlando, Alex Gordon (moving to CF)
  • Why Keep Him?
    • He's the straw that stirs the drink.
      • 2017 Royals Wins - Hitting .394 with RISP
      • 2017 Royals Loss - Hitting .154 with RISP
      • Top 5 in Team MVP ballot in eight-straight weeks
      • 2017 Royals Wins - 1.055 OPS
      • 2017 Royals Loss - .572 OPS
    • His contract may be affordable.
      • Jarrod Dyson, McCutchen, Carlos Gomez, Jon Jay are also free agents
      • Is Cain worth a long-term deal when those names could come cheaper?
      • If he's not a power threat, he's not a substantially better hitter than those names.
  • Why Trade Him?
    • He'll be coveted by every team.
      • He fits anywhere in the lineup.
      • He fits anywhere in the outfield
    • He's not a game-changer, though. He's a 'final piece' to the puzzle.
    • The Nationals are going to the postseason. They need an outfielder and their farm system is healthy.
  • Comparison
    • Josh Reddick traded on deadline day 2016, from Oakland to Los Angeles with LHP Rich Hill for RHP Jharel Cotton, RHP Grant Holmes and RHP Frankie Montas.
  • Interested Teams?
    • Nationals
  • Latest Buzz​

***Kelvin Herrera***

  • Current Contract - arbitration eligible in 2018, free agent after the 2018 season
  • Age - 27 (12/31/1989)
  • 2018 Replacement - Joakim Soria, Matt Strahm or don't trade him
  • ​Why Keep Him?
    • Maintain a strong bullpen for next year.
    • He's under team control in 2018 on what amounts to a one-year deal.
    • Moving Minor and/or Soria may benefit the organization more.
    • Doesn't have the same trade value that he did at season's start.
  • Why Trade Him?​
    • He has the best track record in the bullpen
    • He'll be coveted by every team
      • Every team can use a bullpen arm, closer or set-up man.
    • Washington needs bullpen help. They already know they're destined for the postseason. Call 'em up.
  • Comparison
    • Andrew Miller traded on the day before the deadline in 2016, from the Yankees to Cleveland for OF Clint Frazier, LHP Justus Sheffield, RHP Ben Heller and RHP J.P. Feyereisen.
  • Interested Teams?
    • Nationals, Cardinals, Brewers, Twins
  • Latest Buzz

***Jason Vargas***

  • Current Contract - free agent after the 2017 season
  • Age - 34 (2/2/1983)
  • 2018 Replacement - Eric Skoglund, Jake Junis, Matt Strahm, Miguel Almonte
  • ​Why Keep Him
    • His abilities and approach fit this ballpark perfectly right now and will moving forward
    • Regardless of what happens with the position players, the rotation will remain competitive, which would keep the team fundamentally competitive.
    • Signing him to a three-year deal this offseason wouldn't be the worst idea.
  • Why Trade​ Him
    • His stock has never been, and likely never will be higher.
    • Every team can use an extra starting pitcher.
    • Find a team that would want a half-year rental of Jason Vargas won't be hard. There's very little risk with a half-year rental.
    • Reliable starting pitchers are the most prized possessions in baseball.
  • Comparison
    • Rich Hill traded on deadline day 2016, from Oakland to Los Angeles with OF Josh Reddick for RHP Jharel Cotton, RHP Grant Holmes and RHP Frankie Montas.
  • Interested Teams?
    • Astros, Diamondbacks, Rockies, Orioles
  • Latest Buzz

***Mike Moustakas***

  • Current Contract - free agent after the 2017 season
  • Age - 28 (9/11/1988)
  • 2018 Replacement​ - Cheslor Cuthbert
  • Why Keep Him?
    • Finding a contending team with a hole at third base may be difficult.
    • He's one of main reason why the Royals win in 2017.
      • OPS in wins - 1.061
      • OPS in losses - .646
    • He's a dugout leader and one of the faces of the franchise.
    • He'll likely get a $50M+ contract, which will garner the Royals draft pick compensation
  • Why Trade Him?​
    • He's playing the best baseball of his career.
    • His agent, Scott Boras, is known for getting his clients the best and biggest free agent deal, and that's not likely coming from Kansas City.
    • Yankees third baseman Chase Headley is due $13M this year and next season, but if New York is able to put him on the bench, that N.Y. farm system is loaded.
    • He has a bad knee and his physique doesn't make you feel as if he'll age well.
      • Signing that type of player to a long-term deal doesn't seem like the best idea for the Royals.
    • Todd Frazier and Moose are the only 'big name' third basemen available this offseason.
      • Moose's age and ability makes him the most attractive third baseman this offseason.
      • If he wants a long-term deal, he'll get one.
  • Comparison
    • Ben Zobrist traded three days before the deadline in 2015, from Oakland to the Royals for LHP Sean Manaea and RHP Aaron Brooks.
  • Interested Teams?
    • Angels, Mets, Red Sox, Yankees
  • Latest Buzz​

***Eric Hosmer***

  • Current Contract - free agent after the 2017 season
  • Age - 27 (10/24/1989)
  • 2018 Replacement - Brandon Moss, Hunter Dozier, Ryan O'Hearn
  • Why ​Keep Him?
    • You have to feel like if the Royals let him go to another clubhouse, he's not coming back to Kansas City's clubhouse again.
    • It may be difficult to find a trade partner.
      • Most postseason-bound ballclubs are set at first base.
    • His leadership on and off the field is hard to find and harder to replace.
    • He'll likely sign a $50M+ deal this offseason, which would give the Royals draft pick compensation
  • Why Trade Him?​
    • The offers he'll likely get this offseason will be too rich for the Royals blood.
    • Even teams that aren't destined for the postseason could use an Eric Hosmer-type in the clubhouse
    • His offensive numbers, along with his defensive prowess and clubhouse leadership should allow the Royals to ask for a hefty return.
  • Comparison
    • Mark Teixeira traded two days before the deadline in 2009, from Atlanta to the Angels for 1B Casey Kotchman and RHP Stephen Marek
  • Interested Teams?
    • Yankees, Astros
  • Latest Buzz
    • Jon Heyman of FanRag.com writes that Hosmer remains the Royals top priority, and while the front office isn't committed to buying or selling, rivals expect them to sell. (MORE)

***Mike Minor***

  • Current Contract - $10M mutual option for 2018, likely to become a free agent after this season
  • Age - 29 (12/26/1987)
  • 2018 Replacement - Scott Alexander, Travis Wood
  • ​Why Keep Him?
    • He still has hopes of becoming a starter, and you can never have enough starters.
    • The Royals patience with Minor may be rewarded with a discount deal this offseason.
      • Try to bring him back next year, and maintain a strong bullpen with the other aspects of the team in flux.
    • Even if he remains a reliever, his ability in that role appears to be improving by the day.
  • Why Trade​ Him?
    • If the Royals can't promise to give him a chance to start in 2018, they may want to cut their ties now.
    • The health of his shoulder is always a concern.
      • He's remained healthy this year, and has been fantastic out of the bullpen.
    • Every team can use a left-handed, hard-throwing reliever.
    • It's hard to know if the Royals will be willing to bring Minor back next year, so they should get something for him now.
  • Comparison
    • Will Smith traded on deadline day last year, from Milwaukee to the Giants for RHP Phil Bickford and C Andrew Susac.
  • Interested Teams?
    • Houston, Washington, Boston
  • Latest Buzz​​
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